The blackhole exploit was updated to be particularly vicious at the end of last year, unfortunately it never got much coverage and many MANY people are vunerable.
Given the cost of renting it ($600 per day iirc) people using this exploit would be specifically targetting high value users such as server admins.
If it was something such as a kernel exploit, I doubt it would be so confined, outside of WHT this exploit has basically no traction in real terms of being achknowledged aside from the usual "hey look theres something".
Keylogger is my best guess also.